Board Briefing
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Summary
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Market Opportunity
Hawaii presents no measurable legal gambling market. No credible T1 or T2 market-size or gross gaming revenue figure exists because the state has no legal gambling sector of any kind. The entire addressable consumer base currently engages with offshore or otherwise illegal channels, and any handle projections cited in the fiscal notes accompanying HB 2570 pertain only to a hypothetical future market that has not been authorised.
The licensed operator count is confirmed at zero by operation of the durable primary prohibition under HRS Chapter 712 Part III. No state agency has published an unlicensed-market-share estimate, and no regulator exists to commission such studies. The sweepstakes and social-casino model represents the only lawful consumer-facing channel, operating on the basis that it avoids the consideration element under HRS section 712-1220, but this channel does not constitute a regulated gambling market. Market opportunity assessments for Hawaii are structurally constrained to the hypothetical: the market does not exist in any licensed form, and the reform pipeline, while active in 2026, has not produced enactment.
Licensing & Regulation
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Regulated Activity Classes
All 20 canonical activity classes are shown for every jurisdiction so the grid is directly comparable. 13 carry an assessed status here. Where a class has no statutory activity-class assessment of its own, the status shown is the product-coverage position for that jurisdiction and is marked via product coverage — it describes whether the product can lawfully be offered, not that the regulator operates a separate licence class for it. Not yet assessed describes the state of our coverage and is not a statement that the activity is unregulated.
Player products
Supply roles
Settlement rails
Entry Pathways
No B2C or B2B entry pathway exists for any core gambling product under current Hawaii law. HRS Chapter 712 Part III imposes a total prohibition, and no licensing authority, issuing body, or application process has been established. The only lawful consumer-facing channel is the sweepstakes and social-casino model, which avoids the consideration element required under the durable primary legislation at HRS section 712-1220; the section 712-1232 prize-linked-savings carve-out provides additional statutory support for this model.
The social gambling affirmative defence under HRS section 712-1231 is not a commercial pathway — it requires five simultaneous conditions including equal-terms play, no house profit, and no bookmaking, and is designed for genuinely private non-commercial play. The unenacted HB 2570 proposed an online sports-wagering licence framework but was amended with a symbolic July 1, 3000 effective date, signalling non-enactment intent; this pathway remains closed. No B2B technology-provider licensing pathway exists. Operators seeking entry must wait for primary legislation to be enacted and a licensing authority to be established before any regulated pathway becomes available.
Player Protection
Hawaii has no player-protection framework of any kind applicable to gambling operators. No self-exclusion scheme, deposit-limit regime, reality-check requirement, session-time notification, or mandated age-verification standard exists, because no licensed gambling regime operates under the total prohibition of HRS Chapter 712 Part III. This absence is assessed with Assessed confidence, reflecting a structural T1 ceiling: the prohibition statute eliminates the regulated sector that would otherwise be subject to player-protection obligations. No regulator exists to establish or enforce such standards.
Marketing restrictions for gambling products are effectively total by operation of the underlying product prohibition — no gambling advertising, bonus offers, or sponsorship arrangements are permissible for prohibited products. The player-protection practical burden for a licensed operator is structurally absent, not because the jurisdiction is permissive, but because no licensed pathway exists. Should primary legislation be enacted, a full player-protection framework would need to be built from scratch.
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Distribution & Platform Rules
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Enforcement
Enforcement is the most active dimension of Hawaii's gambling landscape this cycle. The Honolulu Police Department's Narcotics/Vice Division has sustained a rapid cadence of illegal-gambling search warrants through 2026, reaching its sixteenth warrant of the year by a May 20 raid on a McCully-area operation, and continuing into a July 30 raid that yielded eleven devices and over $3,500 in cash with two arrests.
Running alongside this criminal track, Honolulu's Department of Planning and Permitting has pursued a civil and property-based enforcement programme under the 2024 Act 249 landlord-liability regime, targeting 34 properties, issuing approximately 50 violation notices, raiding 30 game rooms, seizing 451 devices, and bringing four individuals to criminal charge in 2026 to date. This civil track is mixed in durability: it rests on a durable 2024 statute but is executed through administrative and civil process against property owners rather than direct prosecution of operators.
Layered on top is SB 3281, which passed the Senate unanimously and was House-amended before being returned for Senate concurrence, with final enactment unconfirmed as of session close; if enacted it would expand the criminal and civil toolkit available against illegal electronic gambling devices.
Enforcement in Hawaii operates exclusively through criminal-justice channels. The durable primary legislation at HRS sections 712-1221, 712-1222, and 712-1223 establishes that promoting gambling in the first degree is a Class C felony, while simple gambling participation is a misdemeanour. No dedicated gambling regulator exists; enforcement authority rests with the Hawaii Attorney General, county prosecutors including the Honolulu Prosecutor, and the Hawaii Police Department. No enforcement events against operators were evidenced this cycle, and the observed 12-month enforcement volume is low despite the felony-tier maximum sanctions.
The federal Wire Act (18 U.S.C. section 1084) and UIGEA (31 U.S.C. sections 5361-5367) layer a durable federal criminal and payments-blocking overlay on any interstate or offshore wagering-related activity touching Hawaii. The broad advancing gambling activity language in HRS sections 712-1221 and 712-1223 creates a latent extraterritorial exposure for offshore or mainland operators soliciting Hawaii residents, though this is assessed at Low confidence and inferred from statutory breadth alone with no documented enforcement action against an out-of-state party this cycle.
Institutional opposition from the Attorney General, Honolulu Prosecutor, Hawaii Police Department, and Department of Health has functioned as a consistent structural veto on legalisation efforts, assessed as a probable ongoing feature of the enforcement environment.
Extraterritorial Reach
Hawaii's extraterritorial exposure this cycle centres entirely on SB 3281's broad definition of an illegal electronic gambling device. Commentary, drawn from a single lower-tier secondary source rather than a primary legal authority, has suggested the definition could be read to reach sweepstakes-casino dual-currency platforms operating from outside Hawaii, creating an uncertain but plausible accessory-liability theory against offshore operators serving Hawaii residents.
No case law or primary regulatory guidance yet confirms this reading, and SB 3281's own final-enactment status remains unresolved following the 2026 session close. Absent a Hawaii-specific gambling regulator, the state's only extraterritorial enforcement lever would run through this general criminal statute rather than through a dedicated licensing or platform-blocking regime, leaving the theory's ultimate reach a genuinely open question pending either enactment or judicial construction.
AML / CFT
Hawaii has no gambling-specific AML/CFT statute and no designated reporting entity status applies to gambling operators, because no licensed gambling sector exists under the total prohibition of HRS Chapter 712 Part III. This absence is assessed with Assessed confidence, reflecting a structural T1 ceiling: there is no state-level gambling AML instrument to publish because the prohibition eliminates the regulated sector that would otherwise be subject to such obligations.
FATF mutual evaluation assessments operate only at the US federal level and do not produce sub-state gambling-specific findings for Hawaii. Federal Bank Secrecy Act and FinCEN obligations apply to financial institutions generally, but no gambling-operator-specific reporting entity designation exists at the state level. No suspicious transaction reporting thresholds, no currency transaction reporting obligations specific to gambling, no enhanced due diligence requirements for gambling operators, and no beneficial-ownership register obligations for gambling licensees exist in Hawaii.
The practical AML/CFT burden for a licensed gambling operator is structurally absent — not because the jurisdiction is permissive, but because no licensed operator pathway exists. A gap remains: no FATF or federal MER assessment specifically addressing state-level gambling carve-outs for Hawaii has been retrieved this cycle.
Cross-Monitor AML/CTF Signals
Cross-border AML/CTF signals are not covered for this jurisdiction in this report.
Data Protection
Data protection obligations are not covered in this report. They are not specific to gambling licensing: the controller and processor duties that apply to a licensee are the same ones that apply to any business handling personal data in this jurisdiction, so this report links to the specialist source rather than restating it. Gambling-specific privacy duties -- player data retention, age and identity verification, marketing consent -- are covered in the player protection and operational obligations sections above.
Technical Compliance
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Operational Obligations
No operational obligations of any kind apply to gambling operators in Hawaii because no licensing regime is in force. There are no reporting obligations, no technical certification requirements, no RNG approval process, no data-localisation rules, no hosting requirements, and no responsible gambling operational mandates.
No regulator exists to publish or enforce such standards. This structural absence reflects the total prohibition under the durable primary legislation at HRS Chapter 712 Part III rather than a permissive operating environment. Should primary legislation be enacted in a future cycle, operational obligations would need to be established from scratch by a newly created licensing authority, and operators should anticipate a full build-out of compliance infrastructure with no existing regulatory framework to reference.
Cost to Operate
No statutory tax rate, licence application fee, or annual renewal fee schedule currently applies in Hawaii because no licensing regime is in force under HRS Chapter 712 Part III. The headline gross gaming revenue rate is null and the effective rate after deductions is likewise null. The unenacted HB 2570 proposed a 15% adjusted gross gaming revenue tax and a $500,000 application and annual renewal fee structure, but these figures carry no present legal force and are noted only as a future-scenario reference.
No AML/CFT compliance lift applies because no designated reporting entity status exists under any Hawaii state gambling statute. No player-protection compliance lift applies because no self-exclusion scheme, deposit-limit regime, or age-verification standard has been mandated. No technical certification or game-approval process exists. The absence of a compliance regime does not represent a favourable cost environment — it reflects the structural absence of any lawful operating pathway.
No legal gambling tax regime exists under current law; HB 2570 (not enacted) proposed a 15% GGR tax.
No licensing regime exists; no fee schedule applies.
Payments & Money Flow
No permitted funding methods, withdrawal-obligation framework, or licensed payment-processing regime exists for gambling in Hawaii. Banking risk for gambling-adjacent flows is assessed as high and payment service provider availability is assessed as very limited, consistent with the total prohibition under HRS Chapter 712 Part III. Payment facilitation for prohibited gambling activity risks liability as promoting gambling under HRS section 712-1223, a durable Class C felony provision.
The federal overlay compounds this exposure: the Federal Wire Act (18 U.S.C. section 1084) and UIGEA (31 U.S.C. sections 5361-5367) apply as a durable federal criminal and payments-blocking backdrop to any interstate or offshore wagering-related payment or communication touching Hawaii, regardless of state law. No cross-border capital controls specific to gambling exist at the state level, but the federal UIGEA financial-transaction prohibition functions as a systemic payment-blocking mechanism for unlawful internet gambling transactions. No licensed payment flows exist to assess; the risk is structurally high under prohibition.
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Competitive Landscape
Hawaii's competitive landscape is defined by the total absence of a licensed market. The licensed operator count is confirmed at zero by operation of the durable primary prohibition under HRS Chapter 712 Part III. No competitive market exists in any regulated sense; the market structure is classified as a prohibition regime with no licensed participants.
No unlicensed-market-share estimate has been published by any Hawaii state agency, and no regulator exists to commission such studies. Consumer demand for gambling is served entirely by offshore and otherwise illegal channels, the scale of which is unquantified at any credible evidence tier. The sweepstakes and social-casino model represents the only lawful consumer-facing channel, but this does not constitute a competitive gambling market. The competitive landscape will remain structurally absent until primary legislation is enacted and a licensing authority is established.
Reform Horizon
The Thirty-Third Legislature's 2026 session closed with every gambling bill it considered having failed to enact, out of at least eight to nine distinct measures spanning casino, sports betting, lottery, prediction markets, and cruise-ship gaming. Of the 267 measures the Legislature sent to the Governor, 266 became law and none touched gambling, confirming the prohibition baseline is unchanged.
The one live exception is SB 3281, an illegal-electronic-gambling-device enforcement bill that passed the Senate unanimously, was amended by the House, and was returned for Senate concurrence; whether it achieved final enactment by session close is unconfirmed. The pattern this cycle is a reform-stage transition across nearly every legalization vehicle, from active consideration to died, while the sole surviving vehicle points toward enforcement expansion rather than market access.
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Trust & verification
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