Enforcement: How hard does the regulator enforce?

The LLI ordered a block against Polymarket on 21 September 2026, treating the platform's event-outcome wagering activity as unlicensed remote gambling or betting under the existing licensing statute, without reliance on any new instrument. This extends the LLI's established website-blocking enforcement mechanism to a platform type, prediction markets, not previously targeted on this record. The action signals an active and expanding enforcement posture: the regulator is applying its current powers to new platform categories offering functionally similar wagering activity, rather than waiting for a bespoke prediction-market rule. For operators, the relevant risk driver is that unlicensed offshore platforms serving Lithuanian users with event-outcome wagering face the same blocking exposure demonstrated here, and that exposure is live now rather than contingent on future legislation.