Outlook: What is coming?

ID — Item — Date — Stage HZN-GB-001 — Commission's invitation to industry to propose ways of reducing regulatory burden — Closed 25 September 2026 — Closed; outcome awaited. Not a consultation HZN-GB-003 — UK holds the FATF Presidency — From 1 July 2026 (two-year term) — In effect HZN-GB-005 — General betting duty of 25% on remote bets (Finance Act 2026 s.87) — 1 April 2027 — Enacted, forward-dated HZN-GB-006 — Amended RTS 12B deposit-limit requirements — 30 September 2026 — Made; deadline extended from 30 June 2026 HZN-GB-007 — Staged Financial Risk Assessment rollout — Stage one timetable to be confirmed — Announced 7 July 2026 HZN-GB-008 — Licence fee changes (SI 2026/828) — 1 October 2026 — Made, forward-dated HZN-GB-010 — Ban on sponsorship and advertising by unlicensed operators — None set — DCMS consultation published 15 July 2026, now closed; outcome awaited HZN-GB-013 — Prohibition on third-party betting on the US Powerball draw — Consultation closes 4 November 2026 — DCMS consultation, published 23 September 2026 HZN-GB-014 — Revocation of the "Aim to Permit" premises-licensing principle — None set — Government statement of intent, 11 August 2026; no legislation published Scenarios. Base: the fee changes take effect on 1 October 2026, and the burden-reduction invitation leads to modest LCCP simplification. Financial Risk Assessment stage one begins once the Commission confirms its timetable. Adverse: the sponsorship ban and the Powerball prohibition are both made, and Aim to Permit is revoked, tightening land-based entry. Favourable: the burden-reduction exercise produces meaningful LCCP simplification. The most consequential near-term items are the outcome of the burden-reduction invitation, the sponsorship consultation response and legislation on Aim to Permit.