Advennt · Cross-Jurisdiction Domain Hub
Outlook
Jurisdiction Readings (121 markets)
8 clear/open
89 conditional/active
24 restricted/elevated
| Jurisdiction | Region | Status | Regulatory Summary | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama (US-AL) | Americas | Probable | Legislative leadership signaled gambling would not be a 2026 session priority, and both SB257 and HB448 stalled without floor votes before the March 27, 2026 adjournment. | Profile →Brief |
| Alaska (US-AK) | Americas | Probable | HB 145 (mobile sports wagering) remains the most significant pending reform; it stalled in the House Labor & Commerce Committee after introduction in March 2025 and reintroduction in the 2026… | Profile →Brief |
| Alberta (CA-AB) | Americas | Confirmed | The July 13 2026 launch is confirmed by government communications. | Profile →Brief |
| Algeria (DZ) | Africa | Confirmed | No liberalisation is foreseeable. Prohibition is multi-layered across the Penal, Civil and Family Codes plus Law 18-05, and the published position is that no legislative reforms are contemplated and… | Profile →Brief |
| Argentina (AR) | Americas | Probable | Argentina is the largest opportunity in South America and the near-term path is continued province-by-province expansion (Santa Fe 2023, Mendoza, Córdoba). | Profile →Brief |
| Arizona (US-AZ) | Americas | Probable | Arizona's market is commercially active (2025 handle ~$9.13bn, up 14.7% YoY; lifetime handle >$33bn and >$179.9M in state taxes by mid-2025) but structurally constrained by the dual-tether model and… | Profile →Brief |
| Arkansas (US-AR) | Americas | Probable | Outlook is mixed: iGaming legalisation bills (HB 1861, a Senate joint resolution to amend Amendment 100) remain pending without enactment, while Amendment 104 (2024) has tightened the path for new… | Profile →Brief |
| Australia (AU) | Asia-Pacific | Confirmed | Bingo: Not applicable. Online bingo is generally regarded as illegal under the Interactive Gambling Act 2001 (Cth) (IGA) and the authors do not consider this position is likely to change in the near… | Profile →Brief |
| Austria (AT) | Europe | Probable | The future development of gambling and betting in Austria will be influenced by various factors. | Profile →Brief |
| Bangladesh (BD) | Asia-Pacific | Confirmed | No liberalisation is conceivable in any foreseeable horizon; the direction is tightening. | Profile →Brief |
| Belgium (BE) | Europe | Confirmed | The policy direction is continued tightening, driven by a strong harm-reduction consensus. | Profile →Brief |
| Brazil (BR) | Americas | Probable | Outlook is positive on market size but clouded by fiscal pressure. | Profile →Brief |
| British Columbia (CA-BC) | Americas | Confirmed | BC has explicitly rejected the private iGaming model while Ontario (2022) and Alberta (July 2026) have opened. | Profile →Brief |
| Bulgaria (BG) | Europe | Probable | The legal framework is 'quite settled' and not expected to change materially. | Profile →Brief |
| California (US-CA) | Americas | Probable | Sports betting legalization remains stalled; tribal stakeholders have ruled out a 2026 ballot measure with 2028 seen as the realistic window. | Profile →Brief |
| Cambodia (KH) | Asia-Pacific | Probable | Direction is tightening. Cambodia was removed from the FATF grey list in February 2023 but the NBC publicly warns (2026) that scam-compound and illegal online gambling exposure put it at risk of a… | Profile →Brief |
| Cameroon (CM) | Africa | Confirmed | The dominant regulatory development is the continuing FATF grey listing (since June 2023, reaffirmed February 2026) signalling systemic AML deficiencies that will constrain banking and PSP… | Profile →Brief |
| China (CN) | Asia-Pacific | Confirmed | Default outlook is negative for liberalisation and increasing for enforcement intensity. | Profile →Brief |
| Colorado (US-CO) | Americas | Probable | The market is mature and stable: the 10% tax is a durable positive anchor, but the 2024 consolidation and HB 25-1311's tightening of free-bet deductibility pressure operator margins. iGaming… | Profile →Brief |
| Connecticut (US-CT) | Americas | Confirmed | Connecticut's market is structurally stable but capped by design. | Profile →Brief |
| Costa Rica (CR) | Americas | Probable | The hub model is under pressure from FATF/AML typology exposure, host-country regulator action, and accelerating PSP and correspondent-bank de-risking. | Profile →Brief |
| Croatia (HR) | Europe | Probable | The dominant trajectory has been tightening rather than liberalisation, and that tightening is now enacted law rather than a pending draft. | Profile →Brief |
| Côte d'Ivoire (CI) | Africa | Probable | Profile →Brief | |
| Delaware (US-DE) | Americas | Probable | Delaware's monopoly market is politically stable and low-growth. | Profile →Brief |
| District of Columbia (US-DC) | Americas | Probable | The most significant near-term development is B26-0656, the Internet Gaming and Consumer Protection Act of 2026, which would legalize online casino/poker and ban dual-currency sweepstakes platforms. | Profile →Brief |
| Dominican Republic (DO) | Americas | Probable | The DR is in an active formalisation cycle. | Profile →Brief |
| Ecuador (EC) | Americas | Probable | Direction is mixed. Online betting is liberalising and formalising. | Profile →Brief |
| Egypt (EG) | Africa | Probable | Direction is stable prohibition trending tighter. | Profile →Brief |
| Estonia (EE) | Europe | Probable | Estonia's outlook is positive and explicitly liberalising. | Profile →Brief |
| Florida (US-FL) | Americas | Probable | The near-term outlook is toward tighter criminal enforcement of unlicensed and grey-market gambling (HB 189, HB 591), not market liberalisation; the tribal compact's mobile exclusivity is judicially… | Profile →Brief |
| France (FR) | Europe | Confirmed | The dominant question is online casino liberalisation. | Profile →Brief |
| Georgia (US-GA) | Americas | Confirmed | Two live 2026 vehicles: HR450 (constitutional amendment) FAILED 63-98 on 2026-03-06, falling short of the required two-thirds majority. | Profile →Brief |
| Germany (DE) | Europe | Probable | Bingo: There are no legislative plans to remove the state monopoly on operating bingo. | Profile →Brief |
| Ghana (GH) | Africa | Probable | The market is growing and the GCG is building regulatory capacity, with a contemplated new Gaming Act to replace Act 2006. | Profile →Brief |
| Gibraltar (GI) | Europe | Probable | The outlook is positive-to-stable on Gibraltar's own regulatory settings but increasingly shaped by external tax pressure: the 2025 Act modernises the licensing and enforcement framework and… | Profile →Brief |
| Greece (GR) | Europe | Probable | Greece has recently implemented a broad range of regulations to apply to its gambling market. | Profile →Brief |
| Hawaii (US-HI) | Americas | Probable | Profile →Brief | |
| Hong Kong (HK) | Asia-Pacific | Confirmed | The HKJC monopoly is stable and the Government reaffirms its no-encouragement policy. | Profile →Brief |
| Iceland (IS) | Europe | Probable | The longstanding entrenched-monopoly posture is now under reform pressure. | Profile →Brief |
| Idaho (US-ID) | Americas | Probable | No active reform track exists for online casino, poker, or sports betting. | Profile →Brief |
| Illinois (US-IL) | Americas | Probable | Illinois is a mature, high-handle market whose trajectory on tax is firmly tightening — graduated rate (2024), per-wager fee (2025) and Chicago levy (2026). iGaming legalisation is contested: HB4797… | Profile →Brief |
| Indiana (US-IN) | Americas | Confirmed | Indiana is a commercially stable, operator-friendly sports-wagering market anchored by its low 9.5% tax. iGaming has been blocked across consecutive sessions and remains unlikely near-term. iLottery… | Profile →Brief |
| Indonesia (ID) | Asia-Pacific | Confirmed | The outlook is firmly negative for any entry. | Profile →Brief |
| Iowa (US-IA) | Americas | Probable | The near-term outlook centers on SF 2289 implementation (effective 2026-07-01) and its practical effect on sweepstakes-style/unlicensed operators, plus continuing legislative interest in esports… | Profile →Brief |
| Ireland (IE) | Europe | Confirmed | When will applications open for the various types of licences? Betting (remote and intermediary): open now. | Profile →Brief |
| Japan (JP) | Asia-Pacific | Confirmed | Direction: slow IR-only liberalisation. A second licensing round is in preparation — a cabinet-order public-comment period ran August–December 2025, with an application window targeted for… | Profile →Brief |
| Kazakhstan (KZ) | Asia-Pacific | Confirmed | The 2026 zonal expansion is liberalising for high-capital foreign investors in land-based casinos, while online sports betting remains the only digital pathway and the online casino prohibition is… | Profile →Brief |
| Kentucky (US-KY) | Americas | Confirmed | HB 904 (Wagering Consumer Protection Act) is enacted and awaiting its 2026-07-15 effective date. | Profile →Brief |
| Kenya (KE) | Africa | Probable | Outlook is cautiously positive for compliant operators but volatile. | Profile →Brief |
| Liechtenstein (LI) | Europe | Probable | Near-term outlook is dominated by the online moratorium (through end-2028) and a contracting land-based market (GGR down ~58.9% YoY through Q3 2025, operator count down to five casinos, industry… | Profile →Brief |
| Lithuania (LT) | Europe | Probable | Direction is tightening. The 2024/2025 reform package (effective 1 July 2025) raised the gambling age from 18 to 21, introduced centralised controls (dedicated RG intervention staff with 48-hour… | Profile →Brief |
| Louisiana (US-LA) | Americas | Probable | Profile →Brief | |
| Luxembourg (LU) | Europe | Probable | Reform is underway in two phases: Phase 1 (illegal machines) stalled by Conseil d'État objections in June 2026; | Profile →Brief |
| Macau (MO) | Asia-Pacific | Confirmed | The Lei n.º 7/2022 framework runs to 2032 with a statutory three-year comprehensive performance review expected to commence late 2025/early 2026. | Profile →Brief |
| Maine (US-ME) | Americas | Probable | Profile →Brief | |
| Malaysia (MY) | Asia-Pacific | Probable | Reform is enforcement-focused, not liberalising. | Profile →Brief |
| Malta (MT) | Europe | Probable | The outlook is broadly stable-positive on market fundamentals but clouded by the Article 56A infringement procedure. | Profile →Brief |
| Maryland (US-MD) | Americas | Probable | The sports wagering market is mature and approaching saturation (12 of 60 mobile licences live; | Profile →Brief |
| Massachusetts (US-MA) | Americas | Probable | Massachusetts is a growing, commercially established sports wagering market, but iGaming was deferred to 2027 after H.4431 was sent to study in March 2026. | Profile →Brief |
| Mexico (MX) | Americas | Probable | The major anticipated reform is a replacement of the 1947 statute. | Profile →Brief |
| Michigan (US-MI) | Americas | Confirmed | Michigan's online market continues record growth, prompting an MGCB regulatory review in December 2025 covering licensing, compliance and enforcement. | Profile →Brief |
| Minnesota (US-MN) | Americas | Probable | 2026 represents the most credible legislative window yet for sports-betting legalization via a tribal-exclusive mobile framework (SF 4139/HF 4204), but the bill remains stalled behind a low… | Profile →Brief |
| Mississippi (US-MS) | Americas | Probable | Profile →Brief | |
| Missouri (US-MO) | Americas | Probable | The market is in its first full year post-launch (live since Dec 1, 2025); no iGaming legislation is currently advancing, and prediction-market/CFTC-authorised products present an unresolved boundary… | Profile →Brief |
| Montana (US-MT) | Americas | Probable | The near-term outlook is dominated by two live uncertainties: (1) whether federal courts will find CFTC-regulated prediction markets preempt Montana's SB 555 ban, and (2) whether the Tavern… | Profile →Brief |
| Morocco (MA) | Africa | Probable | The prohibition/monopoly structure is stable, but the online frontier is in flux. | Profile →Brief |
| Myanmar (MM) | Asia-Pacific | Confirmed | No liberalisation is conceivable without regime change. | Profile →Brief |
| Nebraska (US-NE) | Americas | Probable | Nebraska faces a dual-track reform horizon for 2026: a legislative bill (LB421) and constitutional resolution (LR20CA) carried over from 2025, and a parallel citizen ballot-initiative pathway… | Profile →Brief |
| Nepal (NP) | Asia-Pacific | Confirmed | No online gambling liberalisation is foreseeable. | Profile →Brief |
| Nevada (US-NV) | Americas | Confirmed | The outlook is stable-conservative. The in-person registration requirement for mobile sports wagering is unlikely to change — analysts deem it highly unlikely — and is protected by smaller casino… | Profile →Brief |
| New Brunswick (CA-NB) | Americas | Probable | The outlook is static. No NB-specific bill has been introduced to open a competitive online market, and national-level discussion of sports betting has not translated into provincial open-market… | Profile →Brief |
| New Hampshire (US-NH) | Americas | Probable | Profile →Brief | |
| New Mexico (US-NM) | Americas | Probable | Near-term outlook is dominated by unresolved federal-state preemption litigation over prediction markets rather than legislative reform. | Profile →Brief |
| New York (US-NY) | Americas | Probable | iGaming legalisation is the primary upside watch but has repeatedly stalled in the legislature. | Profile →Brief |
| New Zealand (NZ) | Asia-Pacific | Probable | The market is mid-transition. The Online Casino Gambling Bill (introduced 30 June 2025) creates a capped 15-licence regulated online casino regime via EOI/auction, expected operational around Q1… | Profile →Brief |
| Nigeria (NG) | Africa | Probable | State authority is confirmed by the Tinubu veto of the Central Gaming Bill. | Profile →Brief |
| North Carolina (US-NC) | Americas | Probable | The market is large, fast-growing, and commercially attractive, but the dominant near-term uncertainty is a potential tax increase. iGaming has been discussed but is not in formal legislative… | Profile →Brief |
| North Dakota (US-ND) | Americas | Probable | Profile →Brief | |
| Ohio (US-OH) | Americas | Probable | Ohio is a growing, commercially viable market. | Profile →Brief |
| Oklahoma (US-OK) | Americas | Probable | Outlook is uncertain: SB 1589 tightens the online prohibition effective Nov 2026, while sports-betting authorization (HB 1047) failed again in the 2026 session despite unprecedented tribal/NBA-team… | Profile →Brief |
| Ontario (CA-ON) | Americas | Probable | There have been no prosecutions of non-local online gambling operators in Canada under the Criminal Code. | Profile →Brief |
| Oregon (US-OR) | Americas | Probable | There is recurring but so-far unsuccessful legislative interest in ending the single-vendor online sportsbook monopoly. <cite index="5-16,5-17">There was an effort in 2022 (Senate Bill 1503) that… | Profile →Brief |
| Pakistan (PK) | Asia-Pacific | Confirmed | The constitutional position (Islamic injunctions; | Profile →Brief |
| Panama (PA) | Americas | Probable | Panama has consolidated as a legitimate LatAm-facing licensing hub. | Profile →Brief |
| Philippines (PH) | Asia-Pacific | Probable | Direction is tightening for the domestic online channel. | Profile →Brief |
| Qatar (QA) | Middle East | Probable | Profile →Brief | |
| Quebec (CA-QC) | Americas | Confirmed | Quebec faces the strongest liberalisation pressure of any remaining monopoly Canadian province. | Profile →Brief |
| Rhode Island (US-RI) | Americas | Confirmed | The May 2026 addition of Bally's as a second sports contractor is the first incremental opening since 2019, but it does not change the fundamental closed Lottery-contractor model. | Profile →Brief |
| Rwanda (RW) | Africa | Confirmed | Rwanda projects itself as a tech-forward East African gambling hub, reopening licensing in August 2025 and pursuing a full legal-framework redesign under the October 2024 Gambling Policy. | Profile →Brief |
| Saudi Arabia (SA) | Middle East | Confirmed | No liberalisation is conceivable. The prohibition derives from Sharia law, not a policy statute amendable by the legislature. | Profile →Brief |
| Senegal (SN) | Africa | Probable | The LONASE monopoly is maintained in law and reinforced operationally via the 2026 technical-partnership model. | Profile →Brief |
| Serbia (RS) | Europe | Probable | The trajectory is tightening: the 2024 amendment and 2025-2026 rulebooks have raised fees, strengthened technical supervision and AML controls. | Profile →Brief |
| Slovakia (SK) | Europe | Probable | Direction is mixed/uncertain. Outgoing URHH leadership recommended a full review of the Gambling Act six years after enactment, citing rising unregulated activity and a divergence toward online… | Profile →Brief |
| Slovenia (SI) | Europe | Uncertain | Secondary commentary references a Ministry of Finance review of the long-term national strategy for the development of games of chance, but no primary consultation document, draft bill, or enacted… | Profile →Brief |
| South Africa (ZA) | Africa | Probable | Online casino/poker legalisation has been in legislative limbo for nearly two decades. | Profile →Brief |
| South Carolina (US-SC) | Americas | Probable | Profile →Brief | |
| South Dakota (US-SD) | Americas | Probable | The near-term outlook is defined by SJR 504, advanced by the Senate Taxation Committee on 2026-02-11, which would place a constitutional amendment authorizing statewide mobile sports wagering before… | Profile →Brief |
| South Korea (KR) | Asia-Pacific | Probable | The government does not prioritise further liberalisation of online gambling; the prohibition stance is expected to persist. | Profile →Brief |
| Spain (ES) | Europe | Probable | Outlook is mixed-to-positive. The market is growing strongly, but a draft amendment to Ley 13/2011 aims to restore the advertising restrictions annulled by the Supreme Court in 2024, and RD… | Profile →Brief |
| Sri Lanka (LK) | Asia-Pacific | Probable | Sri Lanka's regulatory direction is liberalising/formalising following GRA Act commencement on 1 December 2025, framed by the government as central to post-crisis recovery, tourism and FDI. | Profile →Brief |
| Taiwan (TW) | Asia-Pacific | Probable | Reform toward private online gambling legalisation remains politically sensitive and has not progressed beyond debate. | Profile →Brief |
| Tanzania (TZ) | Africa | Uncertain | Direction is gradual expansion and modernisation. | Profile →Brief |
| Texas (US-TX) | Americas | Probable | Outlook remains uncertain and politically stalled. | Profile →Brief |
| Thailand (TH) | Asia-Pacific | Probable | The forward picture is dominated by the Entertainment Complex Bill cycle. | Profile →Brief |
| Tunisia (TN) | Africa | Probable | The reform trajectory is tightening, not liberalising. | Profile →Brief |
| Turkey (TR) | Europe | Probable | The government has explicitly ruled out liberalisation, framing eradication of illegal gambling as a matter of national security ahead of the next general election. | Profile →Brief |
| Uganda (UG) | Africa | Probable | Direction is tightening. The proposed harmonised 30% GGR tax would place Uganda among the highest-taxed markets in the region, with industry warning of channel shift toward unlicensed operators. | Profile →Brief |
| United Arab Emirates (AE) | Middle East | Probable | The UAE is on a liberalising trajectory. | Profile →Brief |
| United Kingdom (UK) | Europe | Confirmed | ID | Item | Deadline | Stage | Confidence | Fragility | Source HZN-GB-001 | UKGC call for industry proposals to reduce regulatory burden | 2026-09-25 | consultation open | probable | fragile… | Profile →Brief |
| United States (US) | Americas | Probable | The federal level issues no gambling licences, and a federal iGaming bill — though repeatedly introduced — is unlikely to pass near-term. | Profile →Brief |
| Uruguay (UY) | Americas | Probable | Uruguay's online gambling framework has been politically contested for years. | Profile →Brief |
| Utah (US-UT) | Americas | Confirmed | Prospects for liberalisation are effectively nil in the near term. | Profile →Brief |
| Venezuela (VE) | Americas | Confirmed | No improvement is foreseeable. The June 2024 FATF grey-listing is a recent negative; | Profile →Brief |
| Vermont (US-VT) | Americas | Probable | No active online-casino or poker bill is progressing; legislative appetite for expansion beyond sports wagering and DFS remains low. | Profile →Brief |
| Vietnam (VN) | Asia-Pacific | Probable | Direction is mixed: Decree 147/2024 tightened the online environment by barring casino-style games, while Resolution 8/2025/NQ-CP reopened land-based casino access for nationals, permitting Phu Quoc… | Profile →Brief |
| Virginia (US-VA) | Americas | Confirmed | Virginia is on a liberalising trajectory. | Profile →Brief |
| Washington (US-WA) | Americas | Probable | Near-term change is driven by HB 2526 (multi-operator tribal sportsbooks, in-state college wagering) and the unresolved Kalshi/Robinhood federal-preemption litigation, which could reshape the… | Profile →Brief |
| West Virginia (US-WV) | Americas | Probable | The regulatory framework is stable, but the principal near-term risk is fiscal: Del. | Profile →Brief |
| Wisconsin (US-WI) | Americas | Probable | The near-term outlook centres on whether the state and all 11 tribes can finalize uniform compact amendments before Gov. | Profile →Brief |
| Wyoming (US-WY) | Americas | Probable | Outlook is one of incremental tightening on grey-zone/skill-game products (SF44/SF46) combined with a persistent, unresolved push to legalize online casino gaming (HB162 successor expected 2026) and… | Profile →Brief |
| Zambia (ZM) | Africa | Uncertain | Direction is mixed: tightening on the fiscal axis but modernising/liberalising on the structural axis. | Profile →Brief |